Prediction of Petr Bar Biryukov vs Romain Faucon at M15 Sharm ElSheikh 11-06-25

• Petr Bar Biryukov has a slight edge in second serve performance, securing 47.43% of points compared to Romain Faucon's 43.95% over the past six months. Could this be a decisive factor?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Romain Faucon excels, winning 46.53% of opponent's points, whereas Petr Bar Biryukov lags behind at 39.30%.
• First serve return points show Romain Faucon with a considerable advantage, capturing 31.16% compared to Petr Bar Biryukov's 18.86%. Will this give Faucon an upper hand in this matchup?
• Under pressure, Petr Bar Biryukov has a marginal lead, saving 52.84% of breakpoints versus Romain Faucon's 50%.
• Over the last year, Biryukov exhibits stronger overall performance, winning 62.82% of matches as opposed to Faucon's 51.02%.
• Petr Bar Biryukov's best surface is Hard with 65% success, while Romain Faucon shares the same win percentage on Indoor Hard surfaces but struggles on Grass.
• The level of play differs as Biryukov competes more frequently at Challenger/ITF > $10K events, while Faucon has been active in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments.
• Regarding opponent quality, Faucon has faced higher-ranked adversaries, with an average rank of 312.08 compared to Biryukov's 427.29.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Biryukov has a clear advantage, winning 57% of such encounters in the past year, while Faucon has managed only 41%.
• Current event statistics should also be considered for determining the in-form player during this event.

Editorial Prediction (November 6, 2025, UTC):

As the players prepare for their upcoming match, several statistics point towards Petr Bar Biryukov having the edge. His slightly superior second-serve performance and greater success in critical match situations, such as saving breakpoints and winning deciding sets, provide a solid foundation for his prospects.

Although Romain Faucon demonstrates strength in returning serves, particularly on the first serve, his overall match win percentage and performance under pressure do not quite measure up to Biryukov's achievements over the past year.

Considering these comparative statistics, along with Biryukov's comfort on hard courts, he appears to have a higher likelihood of emerging victorious. Petr Bar Biryukov is favored to win this match against Romain Faucon.